Liverpool vs Manchester City Preview: Team News, Stats & Probabilities
Liverpool host league leaders Manchester City at Anfield on 11 October 2026 in Premier League Matchweek 6. Read GlobalPredict’s free preview for team news, recent form, head-to-head stats and match probabilities.
Match Overview
The Premier League’s standout fixture of Matchweek 6 sees Liverpool host league leaders Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday, 11 October 2026. City arrive with a perfect record of five wins from five matches, earning 15 points with 13 goals scored and five conceded, giving them a goal difference of +8. Liverpool are also unbeaten, with two wins and three draws from their opening five games, scoring seven goals and conceding four.
City will aim to maintain their winning run, while Liverpool will look to close the gap near the top of the table.
Liverpool have a slight home advantage at Anfield, but Manchester City’s perfect five-win league start makes this a closely contested fixture. Liverpool manager Andoni Iraola will look to use the home support, while City boss Enzo Maresca will aim to extend his side’s winning run.
Both teams have the quality to win, making the outcome difficult to call.
Match at a Glance
| Detail | Information |
| Competition | Premier League 2026/27 — Matchweek 6 |
| Kick-off | 16:30 BST / 15:30 UTC / 16:30 WAT |
| Venue | Anfield, Liverpool |
| Referee | Chris Kavanagh |
| UK TV | Sky Sports |
| West Africa | Check your local Premier League broadcast partner |
Season So Far — Side by Side
| Category | Liverpool | Manchester City |
| Position (before kick-off) | 7th | 1st |
| Record | 2 Wins · 3 Draws · 0 Losses | 5 Wins · 0 Draws · 0 Losses |
| Points | 9 | 15 |
| Goals For / Against | 7 / 4 | 13 / 5 |
| Goal Difference | +3 | +8 |
| Form (oldest → newest) | D – D – W – D – W | W – W – W – W – W |
Match-by-Match Results
| Round | Liverpool | Manchester City |
| 1 | Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool (A) — Draw | Man City 2–1 Bournemouth (H) — Win |
| 2 | Liverpool 2–2 Nott’m Forest (H) — Draw | Crystal Palace 1–4 Man City (A) — Win |
| 3 | Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool (A) — Win | Man City 1–0 Coventry (H) — Win |
| 4 | Liverpool 0–0 Fulham (H) — Draw | Man Utd 0–1 Man City (A) — Win |
| 5 | Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool (A) — Win | Man City 5–3 Sunderland (H) — Win |
(A) = Away · (H) = Home
Premier league
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
Note: Manchester City and Arsenal are level on 15 points; City lead on goal difference. Arsenal have played one more match.
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals For · GA = Goals Against · GD = Goal Difference · Pts = Points
Head-to-Head — Last 5 Premier League Meetings
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | Key Detail |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1–2 | Manchester City | Haaland 90+3′ |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Manchester City | 3–0 | Liverpool | — |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Manchester City | 0–2 | Liverpool | — |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Manchester City | — |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Manchester City | — |
- Across these five games: 2 wins each, 1 draw
- The away team has won two of the last three meetings
- City are looking to win successive league visits to Anfield for the first time since 1953
- Haaland failed to score in his first three league visits to Anfield; scored on his fourth in February
Team News
Liverpool
| Player | Status | Detail |
| Phil Foden | Suspended | Final game of three-match domestic ban |
| Erling Haaland | Fit | Maresca confirmed fully available |
| Nico O’Reilly | Doubtful | Minor knock, update pending |
| Antoine Semenyo | Doubtful | Minor ankle, update pending |
Important: Check confirmed lineups ~1 hour before kick-off. Isak and Gakpo’s status is reported differently across sources.
Predicted Lineups (Not Confirmed)
| Team | Formation | Lineup |
| Liverpool | 4–2–3–1 | Alisson; Araújo, Jacquet, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai; Ngumoha, Wirtz, Muñoz; Barcola |
| Man City | 4–2–3–1 | Donnarumma; Nunes, Guehi, Dias, Gvardiol; Fernández, Anderson; Ndiaye, Cherki, Doku; Haaland |
Key Tactical Stats
| Team | Metric | Figure |
| Liverpool | High-intensity pressure on opponents’ touches in the opposition half | 48.9% — highest in the league |
| Liverpool | Expected goals against per 90 — with / without Araújo | 0.77 / 2.04 |
| Liverpool | Florian Wirtz — expected assists from 9 chances created | 0.39 in 403 minutes |
| Liverpool | Home league wins under Andoni Iraola | 0 (2 draws) |
| Man City | Pass completion under high-intensity pressure | 83.0% — best in the league |
| Man City | Erling Haaland — league goals | 5 — leads Golden Boot race |
| Man City | Rayan Cherki — goals / expected goals | 3 goals from 0.72 xG |
| Man City | Antoine Semenyo — goals / expected goals | 2 goals from 0.34 xG |
| Man City | Elliot Anderson — line-breaking passes / progressive carries / duel success | 105 / 64 / 60.7% |
Manager Milestones
Maresca can become only the 4th manager to win first 6 PL games in charge (Ancelotti, Guardiola, Solskjær)
Iraola can become the 3rd permanent Liverpool manager unbeaten in first 6 top-flight games (Paisley 1974, Fagan 1983)
Match Probabilities
| Outcome | Opta Supercomputer (10,000 Simulations) |
| Manchester City Win | 40.7% |
| Liverpool Win | 34.6% |
| Draw | 24.7% |
| Market | Probability |
| Liverpool or Draw (1X) | 59.3% |
| Man City or Draw (X2) | 65.4% |
| Either Team Wins (12) | 75.3% |
GlobalPredict Market Estimates
| Market | Estimated Probability | Key Reasoning |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 82.7% | All last 5 meetings produced 2+ goals; City scoring heavily; Liverpool attack weakened |
| Both Teams to Score | 60.9% | City scored in all 5; Liverpool in 4 of 5; Isak/Gakpo absence a major factor |
How GlobalPredict Makes Its Predictions
GlobalPredict uses a goals-based model that rates each team’s attack and defence using five seasons of results from the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga and Ligue 1, with data from football-data.co.uk. Ratings update after every round.
An accurate prediction site is one whose probabilities hold up across many matches, not one that promises wins. The GlobalPredict results page lists every prediction, including the misses, and each prediction shows when it was last updated.
Frequently Asked Questions
When is the match?
Sunday 11 October 2026 · 16:30 BST / 16:30 WAT
Who is favoured?
Opta gives City 40.7% win chance vs Liverpool 34.6%
Is Haaland fit?
Yes, confirmed available by Maresca
Who is missing for Liverpool?
Isak & Gakpo doubtful; Ekitiké, Bradley, Leoni out long-term
Can predictions guarantee results?
No, probabilities, not guarantees
Disclaimer
GlobalPredict provides football predictions for information and entertainment only. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees, and no result is certain. GlobalPredict does not accept or place bets. Please gamble responsibly — only if you are 18+ — and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
