Botafogo-SP vs Londrina prediction, match preview and betting tips. Explore team form, head-to-head statistics, Série B standings and goal predictions

Botafogo-SP vs Londrina  Match Preview, Tips and Prediction: Form, Statistics and Analysis

Welcome to GlobalPredict. Here, we analyse the Botafogo-SP vs Londrina prediction, examining both teams’ recent form, head-to-head record and key statistics to assess the factors that could shape this Série B encounter. Botafogo-SP host Londrina at the Estádio Santa Cruz (Arena Nicnet) in Ribeirão Preto in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série B. It is a penultimate-round meeting between a home side that has already secured its Série B place and a visitor already relegated to Série C. This preview covers Botafogo-SP de Ribeirão Preto, no Botafogo do Rio de Janeiro.

Match Detail

• Kick-off: Thursday 5 November, 19:30 Brasília time, which is 22:30 GMT and 23:30 in Nigeria (WAT).
• Venue: Estádio Santa Cruz | Arena Nicnet, Botafogo’s last home game of the season.
• Round: 37 of 38, moved forward from Friday 6 November at Botafogo’s request.

Current League Standings & Form Vetting

League Table Position

	Botafogo-SP	Londrina
Position	12th	18th
Points	48	32
Record (P36)	W13 D9 L14	W8 D8 L20
Goals (for–against)	41–39	45–54
Status	Safe	Relegated

Those are the post-round-36 standings. Botafogo-SP average about 1.14 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game, and Londrina about 1.25 and 1.50.

Recent Form

Botafogo-SP have four wins and a draw in their last five. The most recent were a 1–1 home draw with Sport on 31 October, with Hygor scoring on 39 minutes, and a 2–0 away win at Avaí.

Londrina have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last five. The most recent were a 3–1 home defeat to América-MG, a 2–1 defeat at CRB and a 1–0 home win over Cuiabá.

Five-Match Home and Away Form

Botafogo-SP, last five home league matches

Date	Fixture	Result
14 Sep	Botafogo-SP 1–3 Goiás	Loss
29 Sep	Botafogo-SP 2–0 Ponte Preta	Win
3 Oct	Botafogo-SP 0–1 Vila Nova	Loss
12 Oct	Botafogo-SP 1–0 Ceará	Win
31 Oct	Botafogo-SP 1–1 Sport	Draw

Two wins, one draw and two defeats, with 7 points, 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Londrina, last five away league matches

Date	Fixture	Result
10 Sep	São Bernardo 1–2 Londrina	Win
25 Sep	Vila Nova 2–0 Londrina	Loss
7 Oct	Avaí 2–1 Londrina	Loss
13 Oct	Athletic 2–2 Londrina	Draw
24 Oct	CRB 2–1 Londrina	Loss

One win, one draw and three defeats, with 4 points, 6 goals scored and 9 conceded.

The venue records favour the hosts, but not by a wide margin. Botafogo-SP have kept two clean sheets in five at home, and Londrina scored in four of their five away games.

Head-to-Head

The first meeting this season finished 0–0 in Paraná. The previous Série B meetings were Botafogo-SP 2–1 Londrina (Aug 2019), 1–1 (Nov 2019), Londrina 1–2 Botafogo-SP (Jul 2023) and Botafogo-SP 0–1 Londrina (Nov 2023). That makes two wins for Botafogo-SP, one for Londrina and two draws.

Tactical Analysis & Expected Match Flow

Motivation and Context

Neither side has anything left to play for in the table. Botafogo-SP can finish their home season on a positive note. Londrina arrive after their relegation was confirmed on 24 October and home supporters protested at their last match. With stakes this low, results are harder to predict than usual.

Botafogo-SP’s Approach

Botafogo-SP are coached by Cláudio Tencati, who managed Londrina from 2011 to 2017 and again in 2019. A July bookmaker preview described their style as a low defensive block with fast transitions. Hygor leads their scoring with 10 league goals.

Londrina’s Defensive Vulnerability

Londrina have conceded 54 goals in 36 games, including two first-half goals in each of their last two matches, at CRB and at home to América-MG. They do score, though: Bruno Santos has 11 league goals.

Goal Timing

Early goals are not unusual in Londrina’s away games. They scored after four minutes at Athletic, and Avaí scored on six minutes against them. Botafogo-SP’s most recent home match produced its first goal in 39 minutes. That mixed picture matters for the 10-minute market below.

Team News

At the time of writing, we had not found official injury or suspension lists for either squad. Confirmed line-ups appear shortly before kick-off.

Data-Backed Betting Tips for Today on Botafogo-SP vs Londrina  Match Preview, Tips

These figures come from a simple goals-based estimate using each team’s season scoring and conceding rates, with a modest home adjustment. They are statistical probabilities, not certainties, and bookmaker odds include a margin. Anyone reading Brazil Serie B predictions today should treat them as a way to identify potential value.

Market	Estimate
Botafogo-SP win / Draw / Londrina win	~40% / ~27% / ~33%
Botafogo-SP or Draw (1X)	67%
Londrina or Draw (X2)	60%
Over 1.5 goals	70%
Both teams to score	50%
10 minute draw	Low confidence

1X2 and Double Chance

The home edge is modest, because Londrina’s attack is no weaker than Botafogo-SP’s. 1X is the more defensible way to account for a draw, but it still carries real match-result risk.

Over 1.5 Goals

This is the best-supported goals market. All five of Londrina’s recent away games had at least two goals, and three of Botafogo-SP’s five home games did, so eight of ten overall. For over 1.5 goals predictions for today, that supports about 70%. The 0–0 in July is the counterpoint.

Both Teams to Score

Londrina scored in four of five away games, but Botafogo-SP kept clean sheets in two of five at home. Six of the ten games in these samples had both teams scoring, which matches the roughly even estimate.

10 Minute Draw

10 minute draw predictions ask whether the score is level after ten minutes, and the evidence here is mixed. Londrina’s recent away games included goals inside the first six minutes, while Botafogo-SP’s latest home game had no goal until 39 minutes. With no reliable goal-minute dataset, we give no numeric probability.

Disclaimer & Responsible Play

This content is for information and entertainment only and is not financial advice. GlobalPredict provides statistical analysis and does not accept or place bets. Betting involves financial risk, and you can lose money, so never stake more than you can afford to lose. You must be 18 or over to gamble, and age limits vary by country, so check your local laws. For free support, visit BeGambleAware.org.